October 29, 2011

Summary of Market Events for the week

We spend many hours each week reviewing a variety of the very best sources for new insights.  Given how uncertain things are right now (though we had a 300+ pt day on Thursday ;-) , I thought I’d post a few more articles than usual that we’ve found especially useful during these difficult times. Here’s one of those below:

A great Market Summary for the week’s events:

Positives:

  • EU officials finally have structure for debt crisis control, details to follow. [the major contributor for Thursday’s 300+ pt move, in our opinion]
  • China’s HSBC preliminary manufacturing number came in at 51.1, 1st time above 50 since June
  • US Durable Goods orders surprise to upside [only a few months left for businesses to take advantage of  100% accelerated depreciation tax benefit]
  • Q3 GDP grows 2.5% led by personal consumption [as mentioned in a previous blog post – the market can perform well in “modest” GDP growth -> there’s no correlation between GDP & Market Returns]
  • University of Michigan confidence almost 3 pts higher than estimates and up 1.5 pts from September

Negatives:

  • US Savings Rate falls to 3.6%, lowest since July ’08. Contrary to US fiscal and monetary policy, we need more savings and investment and less borrowing and spending
  • Conference Board Consumer Confidence falls to lowest since Mar ’09
  • CS home price index down to just shy of lowest since ’03
  • Notwithstanding EU deal, markets losing faith in Italian politicians ability to liberate their economy and cut spending, 5 yr yield rises to highest since 1997, Spanish yields spike too
  • Italian consumer confidence falls to lowest since 1982
  • Euro region manufacturing and services composite index falls to lowest since July ’09

Source: A great Market Summary for the week’s events comes to us from another website I read (The Big Picture HERE)

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